Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a good one for three-point attempts; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.0 treys per game (92nd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren rates in the 4th percentile for three-point performance with a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren lands in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

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