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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 3/27/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 3.9 rate, Jalen Duren's shots drained have surged this year to 5.8 per game.

Jalen Duren has been on the court for a terrific 29.6 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 25.0 minutes per game last year.

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Gobert is playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.2 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7th-best in the NBA while on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren rates in the 6th percentile for three-point performance while playing away from home with a feeble 0.0% rate this year.

The Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Jalen Duren is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.

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