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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 3.9 clip, Jalen Duren's shots from the field converted have spiked this season to 6.0 per game.
  • Jalen Duren has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
  • The matchup with Wendell Carter Jr. places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs sinking a monstrous 64.3% of their shot attempts from the field this year.
  • The 5th-quickest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
  • The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Duren has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • As it relates to scoring, the Pistons's subpar 112.5 points per game rates 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
  • The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
  • Jalen Duren stands to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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