Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk an impressive 6.1 field goals per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.9 rate last season.
Jalen Duren has played a terrific 30.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 25.0 minutes per game last season.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Nikola Vucevic has been quite high (2.5 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.1 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Pistons check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Jalen Duren will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production across the board.

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