Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has successfully made an impressive 6.1 buckets per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.9 mark last year.
Jalen Duren has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 3.2 fouls per game away from home this year.
In terms of offense, the Pistons's feeble 112.9 points per game rates 8th-fewest in the league this year.
When playing at home and defending opposing starting Cs, Myles Turner has been in the 4th percentile with just 8.8 field goal attempts against him per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Myles Turner has been very low this year (3.0 free throw attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 14th percentile).

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