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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 5.9 mark, Jalen Duren's shots from the field have risen this season to 9.0 per game.

The rate of 3-pointers sunk against Jakob Poeltl has been remarkably high (46.2%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

The Pistons have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 4thbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 5th percentile for three-point performance with a a lackluster 0.0% rate this year.

Jalen Duren has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

With respect to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 109.7 points per game places 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.

This matchup is a positive one for scoring; opposing squads have shot for the highest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Raptors are on the road (51.6%).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Pistons.

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