Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk an impressive 5.6 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.9 rate last year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have shot 56.1% on three-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-quickest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has converted 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.7 fouls per game last season.
When it comes to offense, the Pistons's unimpressive 109.6 points per game ranks 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Lakers (continuing possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).