Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 70.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.1% more than he's made overall this year.
The matchup against Blake Griffin is a strong one; he has given up a monstrous 14.8 points per game at home when facing fellow starting Cs this year (76th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pistons.
Jalen Duren will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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