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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has successfully made 86.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 20.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Jalen Duren has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Duren has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 8th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.4).

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Pistons.

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