Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has risen this year to 29.8 minutes per game.
The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.4 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Hornets).