Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 8:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has averaged a terrific 3.1 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.1 assists per game last year.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.6 fouls per game last year.
While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.