Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has attempted 21.2 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 18.0 rate last year.
Jalen Brunson has converted 2.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Brunson has averaged 35.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank best in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Brunson has attempted 9.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the New York Knicks's lackluster 45.5% field goal percentage rates 6th-weakest in the league over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 13.7 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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