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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 5/10/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has attempted 20.2 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jalen Brunson has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Brunson has sunk 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Brunson has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this season.

The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Heat are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.7).

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.

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