Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has posted 23.8 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 94th percentile.
Jalen Brunson has tallied 34.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup against Orlando is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Magic have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (49.8%).
The Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
Jalen Brunson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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