Jalen Brunson Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 4:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has posted an impressive 6.1 assists per game this season, significantly more than his 4.6 assists per game last season.
Jalen Brunson has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Heat have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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