Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 5.0 rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch of games: 78th percentile.

Favors Under

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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