Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 12:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 2.2 rate, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s personal fouls per game have regressed this season to 1.4.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. should get a boost in effectiveness for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 26.0% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 8th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 82.3% mark, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s free-throw ability has fallen this season to 65.0%.

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