Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 54.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 5.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game this year.
The Heat are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).
As a team, the Miami Heat have been among the best at drawing fouls of late: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage with 23.1 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has failed to make 0.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.4 higher than he's missed in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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