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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile for shooting ability with a a great 50.4% rate this year.

Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 29.4 minutes per game at home this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.

This matchup is a challenging one; when the Clippers are the visiting team, they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (110.6).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have secured 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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