Jaden McDaniels Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category over this stretch of games.
Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.
Jaden McDaniels will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player production across the board.

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