Jaden McDaniels Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders in this category over this stretch of games: 82nd percentile.
Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home.
The Raptors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year without the home court advantage (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year when playing at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league this year on the road, which ought to reduce plays for the Raptors.

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