Jaden McDaniels Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player production for all stats.

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