Jaden McDaniels Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+144/-189).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -189.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 29.9 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 9th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels should suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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