Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 41.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 12.4% higher than he's made in all games this season while playing on the road.
Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%).
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this season on the road.
When it comes to shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 112.0 points per game while playing on the road rates 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Jabari Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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