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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has made 39.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing on the road.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
  • The 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has captured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
  • As it relates to shooting, the Houston Rockets's subpar 108.2 points per game ranks 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, creating a challenging matchup.
  • The Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will likely see a decline in productivity across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

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