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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 75th percentile for shots taken, tallying 10.4 per game this year.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
  • The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Rockets.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 10thbest in in the league while playing away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (92nd percentile).
  • The Rockets check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 2.5 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a tough matchup.
  • The Indiana Pacers have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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