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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.0 treys per game on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
  • The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season, their opposition has come down with 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about further opportunities for offense).
  • Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has missed 6.4 field goal attempts per game since the start of last season, placing him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 75th percentile for misses .
  • Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season.
  • In regard to offense, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while at home ranks 3rd-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Kings are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 11th-least three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (3.9).
  • The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league while on their home court this year.

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