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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Rockets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.1).

The Houston Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Celtics may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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