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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has made 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup.
  • The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.4 fouls per game at home this year.
  • In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's feeble 31.8% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

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