Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-194/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -194.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 4.7 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Jazz).
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile).
With respect to shots from downtown, the Rockets's subpar 33.1% rate of converted threes while on the road comes in as the lowest in the league this year.
The faceoff with John Collins registers in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs nailing only 0.5 treys per game this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

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