Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 28.1% mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point proficiency has jumped this season to 38.4%.
Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.0 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.9 minutes per game on his home court this year.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 4.1 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.8 fouls per game last year.
The matchup against Denver is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 11th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 4thworst in in the league as the road team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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