Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc away from home, tallying 4.9 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 30.7 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Kings).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 15thbest in in the league while playing at home with 13.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.9 fouls per game at home since the start of last season.
The Rockets have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Kings, resulting in a hard matchup.
The 7th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.