Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.1 threes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 29.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The Houston Rockets have been the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home in terms of attempts from downtown.
The Houston Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year.
The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The matchup against the Lakers is a challenging one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 11th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).
The Houston Rockets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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