Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 5:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-225).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 29.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Houston Rockets rank as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage as it relates to attempts from downtown.
This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Nets are the visiting squad, opposing teams have compiled the 6th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (34.1%).
The matchup vs. the Nets is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (4.7).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 26.9% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).