Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile.
The 5th-fastest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.
Jabari Smith Jr. figures to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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