Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has posted a terrific 1.6 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.2 assists per game last season.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Jabari Smith Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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