Ja Morant Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has tallied a whopping 9.0 assists per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.1 assists per game last year.
Ja Morant has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Grizzlies check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
Ja Morant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

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