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Ja Morant

Ja Morant Assists
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Ja Morant has averaged a whopping 8.1 assists per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.2 assists per game last year.
  • Ja Morant has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Ja Morant has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • The Bucks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Ja Morant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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