Isaiah Joe Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Isaiah Joe

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Joe

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Joe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Joe lands in the 84th percentile for threes converted, posting 2.1 per game this year.
The Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (126.1).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 27.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (most in the NBA).
Isaiah Joe stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

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