Isaiah Hartenstein Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Hartenstein

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 10:54 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The showdown with Nikola Jokic registers in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up a whopping 14.9 points per game this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one for drawing fouls; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.9 free throws per game (75th percentile).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 50.0% rate, Isaiah Hartenstein's 3-point effectiveness has diminished this season to 0.0%.
Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Isaiah Hartenstein has sunk a measly 62.8% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 73.3 mark last year.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.9 free throws per game.

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