Isaiah Hartenstein Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Hartenstein

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 5.0 rate, Isaiah Hartenstein's field goal attempts have surged this year to 8.5 per game.
The number of points compiled against Onyeka Okongwu has been very high (16.2 per game) when he is playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (96th percentile).
The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Onyeka Okongwu is a strong one for drawing fouls; when Okongwu is on his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game (81st percentile).

Favors Under

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted a lowly 0.0% of his three-pointers this season, significantly lower than his 50.0 mark last season.
Isaiah Hartenstein has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 20.0 free throws per game.
Isaiah Hartenstein will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance across the board.

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