Herbert Jones Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 11:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Herbert Jones Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-159/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -159 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has compiled 1.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 80th percentile.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Herbert Jones will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.3 fouls per game on the road since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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