Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 21, 2026 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the home team.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Pelicans.

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