Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 11, 2026

Updated Mar 12, 2026 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-113/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 23.9 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Raptors, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.
The most up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are the visiting team (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the New Orleans Pelicans's lackluster 10.4 drained threes per game on their home court measures as the fewest in the league this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which should decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

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