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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has attempted 11.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.1 fouls per game this year.

In terms of shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 105.9 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (9.7).

Over the last 12 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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