Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 6:49 PM UTC

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has sunk 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 30.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
The Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 73.1% mark, Herbert Jones's free-throw ability has risen this season to 86.5%.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 100.6 points per game comes in as the 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.