Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics · Mar 30, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones places in the 75th percentile for shooting effectiveness playing at home with a superb 50.9% rate this year.
Herbert Jones has played 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's played overall this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Relative to last year's 73.1% mark, Herbert Jones's foul-shot efficiency has spiked this year to 86.8%.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 4th-lowest FG% in the league this year (38.1%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.

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