Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 11:47 PM UTC

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
The Pelicans have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Houston is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 free throws per game this year when the Rockets have the home court advantage (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 26.1% on 3-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) against the Rockets, creating a difficult matchup.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (lengthening possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).

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