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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 54.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 21.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have posted 20.4 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Herbert Jones has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Denver may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.

Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have collected 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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