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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regard to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 126.8 points per game places 4th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

The 5th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Cavaliers).

Herbert Jones has made an impressive 87.5% of his foul shot attempts this season, a big improvement over his 73.1 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.3 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts.

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (12.1).

When playing at home, the Cavaliers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 free throws per game this year when the Cavaliers are playing at home (13th-least in the league).

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